Model intercomparison

Gianni Bellocchi, Renáta Sándor

Abstract


This deliverable focuses on some illustrative results obtained with different grassland- specific, grassland adapted crop and dynamic vegetation models selected out of the first list of models compiled in D-L2.1.1 to simulate biomass and flux data from grassland sites in Europe and peri-Mediterranean regions (D-L2.1.1 and D-L2.1.2). Results from uncalibrated simulations were documented in the D-L2.3 report as a blind exercise. Some model improvements are emphasized in this report due to the higher information level of the model calibrations. The complete set of results will include simulations from uncalibrated and calibrated models.


Keywords


model testing, uncertainty

Full Text:

PDF

References


Amman, C., Flechard, C.R., Leifeld, J., Neftel, A., Fuhrer, J., 2007. The carbon budget of newly established temperate grassland depends on management intensity. Agr. Ecosyst. Environ. 121, 5–20.

Brisson, N., Gary, C., Justes, E., Roche, R., Mary, B., Ripoche, D., Zimmer, D., Sierra, J., Bertuzzi, P., Burger, P., Bussiere, F., Cabidoche, Y.M., Cellier, P., Debaeke, P., Gaudillere, J.P., Henault, C., Maraux, F., Seguin, B., Sinoquet, H., 2003. An overview of the crop model STICS. Eur. J. Agron. 18, 309-332.

Cavallero, A., Talamucci, P., Grignani, C. Reyneri, A., Ziliotto, U., Scotton, M., Bianchi, A.A., Santilocchi, R., Basso, F., Postiglione, L., Carone, F., Corleto, A., Cazzato, E., Cassaniti, S., Cosentino, S., Litrico, P.G., Leonardi, S., Sarno, R., Stringi, L., Gristina, L., Amato, G., Bullitta, P., Caredda, S., Roggero, P.P., Caporali, F., D'Antuono, L.F., Pardini, A., Zagni, C., Piemontese, S., Pazzi, G., Costa, G., Pascal, G., Acutis, M., 1992. Caratterizzazione della dinamica produttiva di pascoli naturali italiani. Rivista di Agronomia 26, n. 3 suppl., 325-343. (in Italian)

Chang, J., Viovy, N., Vuichard, N., Ciais, P., Wang, T., Cozic, A., Lardy, R., Graux, A.-I., Klumpp, K., Martin, R., Soussana, J.-F., 2013. Incorporating grassland management in ORCHIDEE: model description and evaluation at 11 eddy-covariance sites in Europe. Geosci. Model Dev. 6, 2165-2181.

De Martonne, E., 1942. Nouvelle carte mondiale de l’indice d’aridité. Annales de Géographie 51, 242–250. (in French)

Diodato, N., Ceccarelli, M., 2004. Multivariate indicator Kriging approach using a GIS to classify soil degradation for Mediterranean agricultural lands. Ecol. Indic. 4, 177–187.

Golodets, C., Sternberg, M., Kigel, J., Boeken, B., Henkin, Z., Seligman, N.G., Ungar, D.E., 2013. From desert to Mediterranean rangelands: will increasing drought and inter-annual rainfall variability affect herbaceous annual primary productivity? Climatic Change 119, 785-798.

Graux A.-I., Bellocchi G., Lardy R., Soussana J.-F., 2013. Ensemble modelling of climate change risks and opportunities for managed grasslands in France. Agric. Forest Meterol. 170, 114-131.

Hidy, D., Barcza, Z., Haszpra, L., Churkina, G., Pintér, K., Nagy, Z., 2012. Development of the Biome-BGC model for simulation of managed herbaceous ecosystems. Ecol. Modell. 226, 99–119.

Klumpp, K., Tallec, T., Guix, N., Soussana, J.-F., 2011. Long-term impacts of agricultural practices and climatic variability on carbon storage in a permanent pasture. Global Change Biol. 17, 3534–3545.

Köchy, M., 2008. Effects of simulated daily precipitation patterns on annual plant populations depend on life stage and climatic region. BMC Ecology 8:4, doi:10.1186/1472-6785-8-4.

Ma, S., Lardy, R., Graux, A.-I., Ben Touhami, H., Klumpp, K., Martin, R., Bellocchi, G., 2015. Regional-scale analysis of carbon and water cycles on managed grassland systems. Environ. Modell. Softw., doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.03.007.

Perego, A., Giussani, A., Sanna, M., Fumagalli, M., Carozzi, M., Alfieri, L., Brenna, S., Acutis, M., 2013. The ARMOSA simulation crop model: overall features, calibration and validation results. Italian Journal of Agrometeorology 3, 23–38.

Prescher, A.-K., Grünwald, T., Bernhofer, C., 2010. Land use regulates carbon budgets in eastern Germany: from NEE to NBP. Agr. Forest Meteorol. 150, 1016–1025.

Sándor, R., Ma, S., Acutis, M., Barcza, Z., Ben Touhami, H., Doro, L., Hidy, D., Köchy, M., Lellei-Kovács, E., Minet, J., Rolinski, S., Ruget, F., Seddaiu, G., Wu, L., Perego, A., Bellocchi, G., 2015. Uncertainty in simulating biomass yield and carbon – water fluxes from grasslands under climate change. Advances in Animal Biosciences 6, 49-51.

Schils, R., Snijders, P., 2004. The combined effect of fertiliser nitrogen and phosphorus on herbage yield and changes in soil nutrients of a grass/clover and grass-only sward. Nutr. Cycl. Agroecosys. 68, 165–179.

Schröpel, R., Diepolder, M., 2003. Auswirkungen der Grünlandextensivierung auf einer Weidelgras-Weißklee-Weide im Allgäuer Alpenvorland. Schuleund Beratung, Heft 11/2003, Seite III-13 bis III-15; Bayerisches Staatsministerium für Landwirtschaft und Forsten, Munich, Germany. (in German)

Silvertown, J., Poulton, P., Johnston, E., Edwards, G., Heard, M., Biss, P.M., 2006. The Park Grass Experiment 1856–2006: its contribution to ecology. J. Ecol. 94, 801–814.

Vital, J.-A., Gaurut, M., Lardy, R., Viovy, N., Soussana, J.-F., Bellocchi, G., Martin, R., 2013. High-performance computing for climate change impact studies with the Pasture Simulation model. Comput. Electron. Agr. 98, 131-135.

Waha, K., van Bussel, L.G.J., Müller, C., Bondeau, A., 2012. Climate-driven simulation of global crop sowing dates. Global Ecol. Biogeogr. 21, 247-259.

Warnant, P., François, L., Strivay, D., Gérard, J.-C., 1994. CARAIB: a global model of terrestrial biological productivity. Global Biogeochem. Cy. 8, 255-270.

Williams, J.R., Arnold, J.G., Kiniry, J.R., Gassman, P.W., Green, C.H., 2008. History of model development at Temple, Texas. Hydrol. Sci. J. 53, 948-960.

Wohlfahrt, G., Anderson-Dunn, M., Bahn, M., Balzarolo, M., Berninger, F., Campbell, C., Carrara, A., Cescatti, A., Christensen, T., Dore, S., Eugster, W., Friborg, T., Furger, M., Gianelle, D., Gimeno, C., Hargreaves, K., Hari, P., Haslwanter, A., Johansson, T., Marcolla, B., Milford, C., Nagy, Z., Nemitz, E., Rogiers, N., Sanz, M.J., Siegwolf, R.T.W., Susiluoto, S., Sutton, M., Tuba, Z., Ugolini, F., Valentini, R., Zorer, R., Cernusca, A., 2008. Biotic, abiotic, and management controls on the net ecosystem CO2 exchange of European mountain grassland ecosystems. Ecosystems 11, 1338–1351.

Wu, L., 2007. SPACSYS: Integration of a 3D root architecture component to carbon, nitrogen and water cycling - Model description. Ecol. Modell. 3-4, 343–359.

Wu, L., Whitmore, A.P., Bellocchi, G., 2015. Modelling the impact of environmental changes on grassland systems with SPACSYS. Advances in Animal Biosciences 6, 37-39.





Previous issues and volumes can be found in the 'Archives' section.

You can refer to a paper published in this series in the following format Author (2013) Title. FACCE MACSUR Reports 2: D-C1.3, where "D-C1.3" is the article ID en lieu of page range.