EU Impact analysis on GHG-emission proposal: Focus on agriculture

Abstract

Outline
Motivation & background work at the JRC
EU agricultural emissions in perspective
Methodology: CAPRI Model
Scenario assumptions
Main results
Limitations
Conclusions

Conclusions
•Without further action, agricultural GHG emissions in the EU-28 are projected to decrease by 2.3% by 2030 compared to 2005.
•The setting of GHG emission reduction obligations for the EU agriculture sector without financial support shows important production effects, especially in the EU livestock sector
•The decreases in domestic production are partially offset by production increases in other parts of the world (leakage)
•Adverse effects on EU agricultural production and emission leakage are significantly reduced if subsidies are paid for the application of technological emission mitigation options… however, with considerable budgetary costs to trigger adoption