Vol 10 (2017)

Supplement

Presentations of the MACSUR Science Conference, 22-24 May 2017, Berlin, Germany

Table of Contents

General

Book of Abstracts
Nándor Fodor (chief editor)
PDF
BOA
Agriculture, climate change and food security – progress and challenges in systems research and integrated assessment and modelling
F Ewert
Presentation Abstract
K-1
Multi-scale Modelling of Adapting European Farming Systems
M Banse, R Rötter, G Dono, H Lehtonen, M Schönhart, M Köchy, A Zimmermann
Presentation Abstract
K-2
Climate change. From an Integrated Farm Management perspective
Martijn Buijsse
PDF
K-7
Benefits of climate modeling for actors along the food chain - reflections for further engagement between science and practice
T Runge
Presentation Abstract
K-8
Concluding session
M Banse
Presentation
K-9

Presentations

The problem of series of days without rainfall in a view of efficiency of agricultural output under climate change
W Bojar, L Knopik, R Kuśmierek-Tomaszewska, J Żarski
Poster Abstract
SC-01
Effect of changing size and composition of a crop model ensemble on impact and adaptation response surfaces
A Rodríguez, M Ruiz-Ramos, T Palosuo, R Ferrise, I.J. Lorite, M Bindi, T.R. Carter, S Fronzek, N Pirttioja, P Baranowski, S Buis, D Cammarano, Y Chen, B Dumont, F Ewert, T Gaiser, P Hlavinka, H Hoffmann, J.G. Höhn, F Jurecka, K.C. Kersebaum, J Krzyszczak, M Lana, A Mechiche-Alami, J Minet, M Montesino, C Nendel, J.R. Porter, F Ruget, M.A. Semenov, Z Steinmetz, P Stratonovitch, I Supit, F Tao, M Trnka, A.D. Wit, R.P. Rötter
SC-02
Crop residue management as a strategy of adaptation and mitigation to climate change
D Ventrella, L Giglio, M Bindi, B Basso, U Bonciarelli, A Dalla Marta, F Danuso, L Doro, R Ferrise, F Fornaro, P Garofalo, F Ginaldi, I Iocola, P Merante, L Mula, A Onofri, S Orlandini, M Pasqui, R Tomozeiu, G Villani, A.V. Vonella, P.P. Roggero
SC-03
A scenario-neutral approach to understanding the regional land use change and food supply consequences of future climate and socio economic change
Daniel Sanders
SC-04
Comparing the performance of nutritive value predictions in three timothy models
T Persson, M Höglind, M Van Oijen, P Korhonen, T Palosuo, G Jégo, P Virkajärvi, G Bélanger, A-M Gustavsson
SC-05
Wanting it all - is a stakeholders' Vision for Europen comaptaible with meeting Europe's food demand under high end climate change
I Holman, N Frantzeskaki
Presentation Abstract
SC-06
Can we be certain about future landuse change in Europe? A multi-scenario, integrated-assessment analysis
Ian Holman
Poster Abstract
SC-07
Extending the BASGRA model for timothy grass with functions to simulate impacts of climate change and sward management on yield and nutritive value.
M Höglind, T Persson, M Van Oijen
SC-08
Integrated impact modelling of climate change and adaptation policies on land use and water resources in Austria"
M Schönhart, M Zessner, A Blaschke, J Parajka, G Hepp, B Strenn, H Trautvetter, E Schmid
Presentation Abstract
SC-09
Process-based modelling of the nutritive value of forages: a review
P Virkajärvi, P Korhonen, G Bellocchi, Y Curnel, L Wu, G Jego, T Persson, M Höglind, M Van Oijen, A-M Gustavsson, R.P. Kipling, A Rotz, T Palosuo, P Calanca
SC-10
Watch It Grow, an innovative platform for a sustainable growth of the Belgian potato production.
Y Curnel, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-11
Implications of input data aggregation on upscaling of soil organic carbon changes
B Grosz, (submitter)
SC-12
Does collaborative farm-scale modelling address current challenges and future opportunities
N Hutchings, (submitter)
SC-13
Modelling plant disease and pest effects on crop performances.
K.C. Kersebaum, (submitter)
SC-14
Comparing the site sensitivity of crop models using spatially variable field data from precision agriculture.
K.C. Kersebaum, (submitter)
SC-15
Observed Crop-Yield Response Economic and Agro-climatic Factors in Austria - a Spatial Analysis
T Marton, (submitter)
SC-16
Evaluation of CERES Wheat and Rice Model for changing Climatic Conditions in Haryana, India
Mamta Rana
SC-17
Modelling production and environmental impacts of perennial cropping systems with the STICS model
L Strullu, (submitter)
SC-19
How is crop growth model calibration performed? Results of a survey.
S.J. Seidel, (submitter)
SC-20
Modelling the impact of soil management on soil functions
H-J Vogel, (submitter)
SC-21
Modelling the impact of rural frontier migration on tropical deforestation.
A Van Rompaey, (submitter)
SC-22
Comparison of two calibration levels on the simulation of soil water content using nine crop models under different rotation schemes in five European sites.
M Lana, (submitter)
SC-23
Effects of grassland management on the global carbon cycle.
S Rolinski, (submitter)
SC-24
Modelling of carbon cycle in grassland ecosystems of diverse water availability using Biome-BGCMuSo.
E Lellei-Kovács, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-25
Modelling climate change adaptation in European agriculture: Challenges and priorities.
K Topp, (submitter)
SC-26
Assessment of soil and climate change data aggregation impact on crop yield simulation: from local to regional study in NRW, Germany
G.R. Maharjan, (submitter)
SC-27
Sustainable agricultural intensification: indicators and metrics for multi-scale modeling.
I Mouratiadou, (submitter)
SC-28
Climate-neutralizing managed landscapes in Sweden.
S Olin, (submitter)
SC-29
Assessing priorities for enhancing adaptive capacity of agricultural systems to climate change using fuzzy logic-based approaches
G Seddaiu, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-30
Recent advances in integrated assessments of climate change impacts on European agriculture.
H Webber, (submitter)
SC-31
Assessing the Importance of Accounting for the Impacts of Global Climate Change on Relative Competitiveness and International Trade in the Agricultural Sector
R Beach, (submitter)
SC-32
Probabilistic assessment of adaptation options from an ensemble of crop models: a case study in the Mediterranean
R Ferrise, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-33
Using impact response surfaces to analyse the likelihood of impacts on crop yield under a changing climate.
N Pirttioja, (submitter)
SC-34
Increasing wheat yield potential and stability under climate change will require tolerance to drought during reproductive development
M. A. Semenov, P. Stratonovitch, M. J. Paul
SC-35
Contribution of uncertainties from model structure, parameters and climate scenarios in climate change impact projections
F Tao, (submitter)
SC-36
When and why to predict using the mean or median of a crop multi-model ensemble
D Wallach, (submitter)
SC-37
Sensitivity of a grassland model ensemble to climate change factors: the MACSUR approach.
G Bellocchi, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-38
What are the risks of food price changes? A time series analysis.
Ø Hoveid, (submitter)
SC-39
Cost-effectiveness of greenhouse gases mitigation measures in the Andean agriculture: an economic and environmental perspective
J Cayambe, (submitter)
SC-40
Integrating the impact of climate change, price changes and recent CAP orientation on Mediterranean farming systems
R Cortignani, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-41
Multi-criteria tools for the assessment and implementation of geographically targeted measures to mitigate nutrient losses and adapt to climate change - examples from Denmark
T Dalgaard, (submitter)
SC-42
Drivers and trends for agricultural soil management – a foresight study for Germany
Anja Techen, Katharina Helming
SC-44
Integrated assessment of farm level adaptation in Flevoland, the Netherlands: what did we learn from multiple methods and model chains
P Reidsma, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-46
Assessment of climate change impacts on SOC dynamic in rainfed cereal cropping systems managed with contrasting tillage practices using a multi model approach
P.P. Roggero, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-47
Impacts of climate change on Scottish beef farms – integrating crop production and economy in a meta-model.
S Shrestha, (submitter)
SC-48
Influence of environmental climate conditions on animal welfare criteria of lactating dairy cows
T Siemens, (submitter)
SC-49
Targeting and prioritization of interventions for reducing enteric methane emissions: findings and lessons from 13 countries.
C Opio, (submitter)
SC-50
Tools to support farmer decision – making in arable cropping systems.
K Topp, (submitter)
SC-51
Opportunities for soil carbon sequestration under old and new grazed grassland in the Netherlands.
J Van Middelkoop, (submitter)
SC-52
The feed story for dairy production systems under climate change
A Bannink, (submitter)
Untitled Abstract
SC-53
Rethinking farm-scale modelling to meet new challenges and possibilities
N Hutchings, (submitter)
SC-54
Assessing the role of farm-level adaptation in limiting the local economic impacts of more frequent extreme weather events in Dutch arable farming systems.
V Diogo, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-55
Spatially explicit estimation of climate change related heat stress on the milk production of dairy cows in the United Kingdom
N Fodor, (submitter)
SC-56
A pan-European analysis of the spatio-temporal patterns of yield gap and abiotic stresses for wheat
P Martre, (submitter)
SC-57
Future climate change, yield variation, and impacts on farm management: a case study at a pilot regions in Finland
T Purola, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-58
Impacts of Climate Change Adaptation Options in Agriculture on Soil Functions: Examples from European Case Studies
A Hamidov, (submitter)
SC-59
How does the projected climate change impact on dry matter yields, greenhouse gas emissions and economics in Norwegian dairy farming systems
Ş Özkan Gülzari, (submitter)
SC-60
How to achieve higher yield levels in North Savo – means and challenges indicated by farmers.
T Palosuo, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-61
Modelling nitrous oxide emissions of high input maize crop systems
P.P. Roggero, (submitter)
SC-62
Yield gaps of cereals across Europe.
R Schils, (submitter)
SC-63
Developing a framework for critical assessment of stakeholder engagement activities.
R Kipling, (submitter)
SC-64
Creating a dynamical farmer population model at country scale level.
V Beckers, (submitter)
SC-65
Integrated modelling of agricultural adaptation and the value of precipitation information in a semi-arid Austrian region
K Karner, (submitter)
SC-66
Recovering the costs of irrigation water with different pricing methods under Climate Change: insights from a Mediterranean case study
D Dell'Unto, (submitter)
SC-67
Is a green tax on red meat a feasible strategy to achieve Norwegian GHG-emission targets for agriculture
K Mittenzwei, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-68
Observed impacts and adaptation in European cropping systems
J.E. Olesen, (submitter)
SC-69
Modelling the implications of variation in phenology and leaf canopy development for wheat adaptation to climate change.
A Manschadi, (submitter)
Poster Abstract
SC-70
Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) for Austria: conceptual thoughts on its demand and stakeholder-driven development.
M Schönhart, (submitter)
SC-71
Using crop modelling to determine the meteorological conditions to be implemented in an Ecotron facility - Prerequisites to improve the experimental design
B Dumont, (submitter)
SC-72
Comparing annual wheat yield sensitivity to climate at different sites using impact response surfaces.
T Carter, (submitter)
SC-73
Laboratory and field scale: two approaches for the evaluation of GHG emissions from dairy cows
S Menardo, (submitter)
SC-74
Effects of nutrient supply on mitigation in a long-term experiment.
J.T. Aranyos, (submitter)
SC-75
Effect of climate changes on plant disease under simulated conditions: challenges and limits
M Pugliese, (submitter)
Presentation Abstract
SC-76
Assessment of viticulture and winemaking vulnerability in the expected conditions of climate change in Ararat valley and foothills.
V Margaryan, (submitter)
SC-77
The vulnerability and risk assessment of agricultural crops in the conditions of expected climate change in the Republic of Armenia.
V Margaryan, (submitter)
SC-78
Multi-model approach for assessing sunflower food value chain in Tanzania
E Vilvert, (submitter)
SC-79
Heat stress impact on productive efficiency and GHG emission intensity in dairy cow
A Vitali, (submitter)
SC-80
The impact of climate change on maize phenology in Poland under 10 different RCM scenarios
A Król, (submitter)
SC-81
Spatial aggregation for crop modelling at regional scales: the effects of soil variability
E Coucheney, (submitter)
SC-82
Web-based service of farm-level future climate and agro-information with RCP climate change scenarios
K.H. Moon, (submitter)
SC-83
Wheat grain yield and water use efficiency improved under climate change condition in semi-arid regions as predicted by APSIM crop model
R Deihimfard, (submitter)
SC-84
Does the effect of the choice of crops has a stronger influence on regional water resources than those of climate variability
K Drastig, (submitter)
SC-85
User co-design of state-of-the-art climate simulations: towards a better-informed agricultural sector
E van der Linden, (submitter)
SC-86
A new version of ORCHIDEE-GM with coupled carbon-nitrogen-phosphorus cycles: parameter calibration and model evaluation.
J Chang, (submitter)
SC-87
Spatial analysis of multifractal spectra of the MERRA II meteorological time series
J Krzyszczak, (submitter)
SC-88
Regional adaptation of crop rotations as key factor to improve sustainability - integrative assessment of agricultural, ecological and economic impacts
M Glemnitz, (submitter)
SC-89
Simulation of perennial ryegrass quality traits using PaSim in a breeding context
T De Swaef, (submitter)
SC-90
Kujawy and Pomorze Regional XC Approach
W Bojar, L Knopik, J Żarski, R Kuśmierek-Tomaszewska, W Żarski, M Sikora, G Dzieża
Presentation
S-1